Evansville
W-L: (10-25) PR = 92.7917Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 66-71 1109 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 43-** 1112 H Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 60-83 1116 H Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 60-69 1120 A IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 75-58 1125 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 69-75 1130 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 65-52 1203 H Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 49-91 1207 H St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 55-72 1214 H Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 57-63 1217 H Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 67-77 1221 H Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 66-75 1229 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 80-90 103 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 66-46 108 A So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 75-70 111 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 71-82 116 H Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 48-66 118 H Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 71-77 123 H Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 82-97 125 A No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 68-65 129 H Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 73-79 201 H Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 75-78 205 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 83-59 207 H Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 65-68 213 H Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 68-79 215 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 75-88 221 A No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 64-63 226 H Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 85-87 228 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 80-99 305 H Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 61-82 308 H So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 69-75 312 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 76-71 313 A Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 76-63 314 A Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 75-70 315 A Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 70-91
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H SE MO St 66-71 -5 -1 -1.49
1109 H Iowa 43-** -76 -5 0.00
1112 H Ea Kentucky 60-83 -23 -2 -0.39
1116 H Wright St 60-69 -9 0 - -2.28
1120 A IUI 75-58 17 -1 + 2.62
1125 H SIUE 69-75 -6 -1 -1.41
1130 A No Illinois 65-52 13 0 1.55
1203 H Purdue 49-91 -42 -3 0.00
1207 H St Louis 55-72 -17 -1 -1.09
1214 H Austin Peay 57-63 -6 -1 -1.13
1217 H Belmont 67-77 -10 -2 -0.04
1221 H Dayton 66-75 -9 -2 -0.48
1229 H Murray St 80-90 -10 -3 0.00
103 A Valparaiso 66-46 20 3 0.00
108 A So Illinois 75-70 5 0 1.86
111 H Illinois St 71-82 -11 -2 -0.42
116 H Ill-Chicago 48-66 -18 -1 -1.29
118 H Indiana St 71-77 -6 0 - -2.15
123 H Drake 82-97 -15 -1 -1.46
125 A No Iowa 68-65 3 -1 + 3.49
129 H Belmont 73-79 -6 -2 -0.04
201 H Indiana St 75-78 -3 0 - -2.15
205 A Valparaiso 83-59 24 3 0.00
207 H Ill-Chicago 65-68 -3 -1 -1.29
213 H Bradley 68-79 -11 -1 -0.60
215 H Illinois St 75-88 -13 -2 -0.42
221 A No Iowa 64-63 1 -1 + 2.49
226 H Drake 85-87 -2 -1 -1.46
228 H Murray St 80-99 -19 -3 0.00
305 H Bradley 61-82 -21 -1 -0.60
308 H So Illinois 69-75 -6 0 - -2.16
312 A Ill-Chicago 76-71 5 -1 + 2.73
313 A Belmont 76-63 13 -2 + 3.98
314 A Illinois St 75-70 5 -2 + 3.60
315 A Murray St 70-91 -21 -3 0.00
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 H Wright St 60-69 -9 0 - -2.28 118 H Indiana St 71-77 -6 0 - -2.15 201 H Indiana St 75-78 -3 0 - -2.15 308 H So Illinois 69-75 -6 0 - -2.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1120 A IUI 75-58 17 -1 + 2.62 125 A No Iowa 68-65 3 -1 + 3.49 221 A No Iowa 64-63 1 -1 + 2.49 312 A Ill-Chicago 76-71 5 -1 + 2.73 313 A Belmont 76-63 13 -2 + 3.98 314 A Illinois St 75-70 5 -2 + 3.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 66-71 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 0.87 -2.86
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 43-** -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.87 -0.84
3 H Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 60-83 -5.49 5.47 -0.01 0.87 -2.38
3 H Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 60-69 -7.38 3.58 -0.01 0.87 -3.20
3 A IUI (12-17, 93.4) 75-58 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.87 7.76
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 69-75 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 0.87 -2.82
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 65-52 -7.57 3.39 0.01 0.87 5.89
3 H Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 49-91 -4.34 6.62 -0.01 0.87 -1.89
3 H St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 55-72 -6.19 4.77 -0.01 0.87 -2.69
3 H Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 57-63 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 0.87 -2.70
3 H Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 67-77 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.87 -2.23
3 H Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 66-75 -5.58 5.38 -0.01 0.87 -2.42
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 80-90 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.87 -1.84
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 66-46 -9.64 1.32 0.01 0.87 2.30
3 A So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 75-70 -7.26 3.70 0.01 0.87 6.43
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 71-82 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.87 -2.40
3 H Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 48-66 -6.38 4.58 -0.01 0.87 -2.77
3 H Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 71-77 -7.25 3.71 -0.01 0.87 -3.15
3 H Drake (12-20, 93.3) 82-97 -6.55 4.41 -0.01 0.87 -2.85
3 A No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 68-65 -5.63 5.33 0.01 0.87 9.26
3 H Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 73-79 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.87 -2.23
3 H Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 75-78 -7.25 3.71 -0.01 0.87 -3.15
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 83-59 -9.64 1.32 0.01 0.87 2.30
3 H Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 65-68 -6.38 4.58 -0.01 0.87 -2.77
3 H Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 68-79 -5.70 5.27 -0.01 0.87 -2.47
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 75-88 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.87 -2.40
3 A No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 64-63 -5.63 5.33 0.01 0.87 9.26
3 H Drake (12-20, 93.3) 85-87 -6.55 4.41 -0.01 0.87 -2.85
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 80-99 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.87 -1.84
3 H Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 61-82 -5.70 5.27 -0.01 0.87 -2.47
3 H So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 69-75 -7.26 3.70 -0.01 0.87 -3.15
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 76-71 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.87 7.95
3 A Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 76-63 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.87 10.12
3 A Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 75-70 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.87 9.46
3 A Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 70-91 -4.22 6.74 0.01 0.87 -1.83
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8.54
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winning pts = 70.7385 losing points = -62.1983
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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